Ecological thresholds: Concept,Methods and research outlooks

The concept of ecological thresholds was raised in the 1970s. However, it was subsequently given different definitions and interpretations depending on research fields or disciplines. For most scientists, ecological thresholds refer to the points or zones that link abrupt changes between alternative stable states of an ecosystem. The measurement and quantification of ecological thresholds have great theoretical and practical significance in ecological research for clarifying the structure and function of ecosystems, for planning sustainable development modes, and for delimiting ecological red lines in managing the ecosystems of a region. By reviewing the existing concepts and classifications of ecological thresholds, we propose a new concept and definition at two different levels: the ecological threshold points, i.e. the turning points of quantitative changes to qualitative changes, which can be considered as ecological red lines; the ecological threshold zones, i.e. the regime shifts of the quantitative changes among different stable states, which can be considered as the yellow and/or orange warning boundaries of the gradual ecological changes. The yellow thresholds mean that an ecosystem can return to a stable state by its self-adjustment, the orange thresholds indicate that the ecosystem will stay in the equilibrium state after interference factors being removed, whereas the red thresholds, as the critical threshold points, indicate that the ecosystem will undergo irreversible degradation or even collapse beyond those points. We also summarizes two types of popular Methods in determining ecological thresholds: statistical analysis and modeling based on data of field observations. The applications of ecological thresholds in ecosystem service, biodiversity conservation and ecosystem management research are also reviewed. Future research on ecological thresholds should focus on the following aspects: (1) methodological development for measurement and quantification of ecological thresholds; (2) emphasizing the scaling effect of ecological thresholds and establishment of national-scale observation system and network; and (3) implementation of ecological thresholds as early warning tools in ecosystem management and delimiting ecological red lines.     

退耕还林还草工程对陕北地区生态系统服务价值时空演变的影响

基于陕北地区1990、2000、2015年土地利用数据，运用单位面积生态系统价值当量因子法、格网法、探索性空间数据法（ESDA），分析了退耕还林还草工程实施前后生态系统服务价值（ESV）的空间分布和演化规律，探讨了退耕还林还草工程对ESV的影响。结果表明：（1）陕北地区退耕还林还草工程实施效果显著，工程实施后共有297066.15 hm2耕地转化为林地和草地，林草覆盖率由57.33%增长至60.50%。（2）退耕还林还草工程使得陕北地区ESV得到了显著提升。25年间陕北地区ESV共增加了32.82亿元，ESV在工程实施后比工程实施前多增加了5.93亿元，增长主要源于退耕引起林地和草地面积的增加。（3）ESV空间分布上呈显著的“南高北低”分布格局，并表现出正向的集聚性和依存性，ESV热点区和冷点区集聚效果明显，热点区集聚与林地、草地的空间分布相吻合，冷点区集聚与未利用地、耕地和建设用地的空间分布相吻合。（4）受退耕还林还草工程影响，陕北地区中部中等等级和次高ESV分布区域逐渐增大、次热点区空间集聚性逐渐增强，北部次低等级和低等级ESV分布区域逐渐减少、冷点区空间集聚性逐渐减弱。整体而言，陕北地区土地利用类型转移和ESV的增减变化与推行退耕还林还草工程在时间上相呼应、在空间上相匹配，退耕还林还草工程实施使得陕北地区生态环境得到了有效改善，ESV得到了显著提升。     

Conformational Priming of RepA-WH1 for Functional Amyloid Conversion Detected by NMR Spectroscopy

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Toward an understanding of the economics of pastoralism: The balance of exchange between pastoralists and nonpastoralists in Western Iran, 1815–1975

It has become a theoretical commonplace among students of southwest Asian pastoralism that the balance of exchange between pastoralists and their settled neighbors has had a profound effect on pastoralists, strongly influencing household viability and, indeed, the viability of pastoralism as an adaptation. However, little attempt has been made to examine historical variation in the balance of exchange. Attempts to use transformations in the balance of exchange as a means of accounting for change among pastoralists thus remain largely impressionistic and underspecified. This paper examines variations in the balance of exchange between Iranian pastoralists and non-pastoralists from 1815 to 1977. It demonstrates that to the degree that there were long term shifts in the balance of exchange, they favored pastoralists, and it argues that this trend became stronger, rather than weaker in the 20th century. This suggests that pressures on pastoralists over this period were not directly economic and that variation in the balance of exchange itself cannot account for outcomes such as the increased settlement of Iranian pastoralists.     

尼泊尔生态系统质量评估与时空格局变化——基于参照条件的评估方法

良好的生态系统质量是维持人类社会供给需求和可持续发展目标实现的重要保障。针对尼泊尔自然地理环境复杂多样，区域间气候差异明显的特点，结合基于参照条件的评估方法可以得到生态系统质量的相对水平值，其结果能够反映出不同的变化信息。植被是区域生态系统质量变化的重要指示器，利用尼泊尔五大地理区以及四种主要植被生态系统类型划分出20个生态评估区，从表征植被生态系统的水平结构、生产功能和垂直结构3个方面计算生态参数相对密度指标（RVI），结合主成分分析法构建植被生态系统质量指数（VEQI），并以其国家自然保护区为参照，构建基于参照条件的生态系统质量评估模型，计算了尼泊尔2016和2020年基于参照条件的植被生态系统质量指数（VEQI''）并分析其生态系统质量的时空格局变化。结果表明：（1）2016至2020年，尼泊尔生态系统质量现实值VEQI的平均值增加了3.49%，总体上，在参照生态系统质量（VEQI_ref）提高（约1.41%）的背景下，生态系统质量相对水平值VEQI''增加了1.42%；（2）对于尼泊尔地区，评估区89%分位数的VEQI与其对应的国家自然保护区的参照值具有很强的相关性，总体差异较小，可以代替作为参照值；（3）从空间格局变化趋势来看，尼泊尔生态系统质量变好、基本稳定和变差的面积分别占植被生态系统总面积的74.16%、14.25%和11.59%。与数量不足、较难收集利用的野外观测台站数据相比，国家自然保护区更接近理想参照生态系统的假设，通过有限的自然保护区确定生态评估区的参照值，实现生态系统质量的快速评估，其结果具有更好的时空可比性，可以为区域生态质量变化评估及量化分析等方面提供参考。     

Intercompany Energy Integration

Reusing heat through process integration in heat exchanger networks has long been a key measure for increasing energy efficiency in energy‐intensive industries. Thermal pinch analysis is commonly used for a systematic matching of process streams and thus planning of optimal process integration in large chemical plants. The possible savings increase with the amount of heat and the number of integrated process streams. Therefore co‐ siting of several companies in a symbiotic network opens new opportunities for process integration even in small and medium‐size enterprises (SMEs), but also introduces new challenges. Thermal pinch analysis is extended here to account for piping distances and fluctuations and limited availability of energy flows by adding additional costs for the piping system and a backup utility system in the optimization function. Cooperative game theory is proposed to derive a sharing of savings between the partners of the industrial symbiosis that is optimal for each partner and should prevent partners from leaving the network because of higher benefits in a subgroup or alone. It is argued that knowledge about the optimality of a network for each partner creates trust between the partners that is a necessary base for the long‐term commitment needed in industrial symbioses. An exemplary symbiotic network combining the production of pulp and woody biomass energy carriers is used to illustrate the proposed approaches.     

Climatic controls of the cool human thermal sensation in a summertime onshore wind

 Afternoon observations in summer comparing shoreline with inland atmospheric conditions were made during onshore winds at Victoria, British Columbia, Canada. The onshore wind came from a cool water surface. Mean monthly water temperatures near to shore were between 11 and 11.5° C. The onshore wind brought lower air, ground surface radiant and sky radiant temperatures; lower humidity and greater wind speed. All of these combine to produce a cooler human environment at the shoreline than inland. The relative importance of climatic elements in producing the cooler environment was assessed using sensitivity analyses with eight different human thermal exchange models/indices. Air temperature and wind speed had the greatest effect, followed by ground surface radiant temperature, sky radiant temperature and humidity. Wind speed is the most practical element to consider when trying to maximize human comfort along the shoreline. Received: 9 July 1996 / Revised: 31 March 1997 / Accepted: 14 April 1997     

Character compatibility of molecular markers to distinguish asexual and sexual reproduction

Particularly in polyploids, the potential of the high variability of dominant markers such as random amplified polymorphic DNA fragments (RAPDs) and amplified fragment length polymorphisms (AFLPs) in population genetic studies and analysis of breeding systems is reduced due to their dominant nature. In contrast, the criterion of character compatibility is hindered neither by dominance nor by polyploidy as allelic interpretation is not necessary. Character compatibility, which can be used to detect events of genetic exchange (or recombination), is particularly informative if these events are expected to be rare such as in taxa with extensive vegetative reproduction or apomixis. Binary unordered characters such as presence and absence of anonymous DNA markers are incompatible if all four pairwise combinations of character states are present among the individuals studied. Because incompatible character state distributions defy any progenitor–derivative relationship among individuals, they provide strong evidence for genetic exchange. Both the absolute number of incompatible character combinations and the probability of compatibility can be used as a measure of incompatibility. Although these measures may not directly relate to the frequency of genetic exchange, they provide a useful tool to heuristically explore data sets. The most commonly used input for multivariate analyses and analysis of molecular variance in population genetic studies of (dis)similarity of marker distributions are amalgamates of mutation and recombination. Character compatibility can be used to complement these traditional methods of analysis. Advantages and disadvantages of character incompatibility relative to multilocus analysis of modes of reproduction and population genetics are demonstrated with data from RAPDs, isozymes, and restriction fragment length polymorphisms (RFLPs) of the nuclear ribosomal and chloroplast genome.     

Inter-chromophore interactions in pigment-modified and dimer-less bacterial photosynthetic reaction centers

The magnitudes of inter-chromophore interactions in bacterial photosynthetic reaction centers are investigated by measuring absorption and Stark spectra of reaction centers in which monomeric chromophores are modified and in a novel triplet mutant which lacks the special pair. The circular dichroism spectrum of the triple mutant reaction center was also measured. Only small changes in the spectroscopic properties are observed, as has also been found for several types of reaction centers in which the absorption or chemical properties of a chromophore are altered by site-specific mutations. We conclude that the electronic absorption, circular dichroism and Stark features of the special pair and the monomeric chromophores in the reaction center are relatively insensitive to inter-chromophore interactions.     

Modelling the effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine fishes: accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope model

Climate change has already altered the distribution of marine fishes. Future predictions of fish distributions and catches based on bioclimate envelope models are available, but to date they have not considered interspecific interactions. We address this by combining the species‐based Dynamic Bioclimate Envelope Model (DBEM) with a size‐based trophic model. The new approach provides spatially and temporally resolved predictions of changes in species' size, abundance and catch potential that account for the effects of ecological interactions. Predicted latitudinal shifts are, on average, reduced by 20% when species interactions are incorporated, compared to DBEM predictions, with pelagic species showing the greatest reductions. Goodness‐of‐fit of biomass data from fish stock assessments in the North Atlantic between 1991 and 2003 is improved slightly by including species interactions. The differences between predictions from the two models may be relatively modest because, at the North Atlantic basin scale, (i) predators and competitors may respond to climate change together; (ii) existing parameterization of the DBEM might implicitly incorporate trophic interactions; and/or (iii) trophic interactions might not be the main driver of responses to climate. Future analyses using ecologically explicit models and data will improve understanding of the effects of inter‐specific interactions on responses to climate change, and better inform managers about plausible ecological and fishery consequences of a changing environment.